Prediction of Jake Dembo vs Arjun Mehrotra at M15 Hamilton 12-10-25

• Recent second serve performance shows Jake Dembo winning 36.92% of points, whereas Arjun Mehrotra secures 41.18% of them. Could this indicate a serve advantage for Arjun?
• In return games, Jake Dembo has taken 38.64% of his opponent's second serve points recently, but Arjun Mehrotra takes 46.19%. Is this a hint towards Arjun's stronger return game?
• On first serve returns, Jake wins 20.48%, whereas Arjun achieves 28.25%, suggesting Arjun's superior first serve return capability.
• Under pressure, Jake has been saving 48.28% of breakpoints, while Arjun saves 49.11%, illustrating a consistent ability to handle crucial moments by Arjun.
• Over the past year, Jake's match win rate stands at 0% (0 wins, 5 losses), as Arjun boasts a 63.83% win rate (30 wins, 17 losses). How does this reflect their potential in this match?
• Both players have their highest win percentage on grass, though still low, with Jake at 0% (0/1) and Arjun at 0% (10/8), while struggling more on their worst surfaces.
• Jake has primarily competed in ITF tournaments, where he has won none of his matches recently (0/5). In contrast, Arjun has been more successful, winning 63.83% of these matches (30/17).
• The quality of opponents played reflects Jake facing players with an average rank of 388.4, while Arjun contends against an average rank of 194.57, indicating Arjun is challenging a higher caliber field.
• When going into a deciding set, Jake has not won any in the last year, whereas Arjun has secured victory in 36% of such matches.

Editorial Prediction (December 9, 2025, UTC):

Considering the comprehensive statistics, Arjun Mehrotra appears to have the upper hand across several performance aspects.

His second and first serve return game stats illustrate a stronger ability to counter his opponent's serves. Furthermore, his breakpoint save rate indicates a slight edge in resilience under pressure.

In terms of match experience and success, Arjun's win record significantly surpasses Jake's, reflecting a higher consistency and performance against better-ranked opponents.

Therefore, based on these observations, Arjun Mehrotra is favored to claim victory in this matchup.